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ARCHIVED - Coronavirus cases rise by more than 30,000 across Spain this weekend
On Friday 11th September the total number of coronavirus cases in Spain was 566,326. By Friday 18th September the figure had risen to 640,040, an increase of 73,714 cases in a week or 13.01%. This is a fractionally lower increase than last week,which was 13.4%, although the increase is larger in terms of case numbers; 73,714 as opposed to 67,337.
On Monday the Ministry of Health figure had risen to 31,428, which means that over the weekend the total number of covid positives reported to date in Spain had risen by 31,428.
During the weekend 2,957 new cases were diagnosed, and the remainder of the cases came from those notified by the 17 regional health authorities in the days prior to the weekend which have now been checked and verified and are included in the official figures.
We do know that more cases are being detected now than in March, as lack of testing capacity in the early days of the pandemic meant that the large majority of the asymptomatic and mild cases were not detected, or tested, so the virus was spreading silently, but in this “second wave” huge efforts are being made to try and detect these cases in order to confine and limit its further spread.This means that the number of deaths will appear to be lower, which it will be in percentage terms, as logically more cases being reported, but the same number of deaths, leads to a lower percentage rate, but this does NOT mean that the virus is any less deadly, or that a milder form is circulating as is being reported on expat social media!
The same comment was actually made by the scientific advisors to the British Government today in their press briefing, as the same point is being made in the UK.
But confirming that cases exist is not the problem. Although the majority of people will suffer mild effects, we know by now that the problem we face this autumn is keeping the virus away from those who are more vulnerable to it, and are more likely to die or suffer severe cases. The normal rhythm of the virus means that we are detecting a rise in cases now, which will be followed by an increase in hospitalisations and deaths are typically 2-3 weeks behind the detection of a rise in cases.
Graphic; Fatalities in Spain. Source Ministry of Health
So the figures we have to look at most carefully relate to the rise in hospitalisations and the fatalities. Spain is the EU country with the most cases, but this week it was also the one that reported the most deaths, with more than 200 deaths a day throughout the week; last Friday the total deaths reported was 29,094, this Friday the figure is 30,495, a difference of 1401, or 200 a day.
On Monday the figure quoted was 30,663, which means that a further 168 deaths were recorded over the weekend.
The rate at which deaths are growing has tripled in three weeks and is ten times higher than in early August. Although this figure is rising, it is still a long way from the peak of the pandemic in the spring between the 19th March and 15th April when deaths were consistently above 500 a day, peaking around 900 at the end of March, but the figures are on the way up, and noticeably so.
Detailed source data can be found by clicking here